Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 11

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Cearense		Tocantinópolis

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.66	3.25	4.95
	1.66	3.23	4.81
	1.65	3.2	4.75
	1.68	3.52	4.85
	1.7	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.99)	3.33 ↑ (2.97)	4.66 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cearense
53.7%

Draw
27%

Tocantinópolis
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

30.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

29.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Cearense's performance.

Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tocantinópolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Cearense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Atlético Cearense - Tocantinópolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético Cearense will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tocantinópolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Cearense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Cearense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cearense
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Atlético Cearense - Cordino	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Fluminense Piaui - Atlético Cearense	0:3 ✺
10.06.23	Atlético Cearense - Fluminense Piaui	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Cordino - Atlético Cearense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWTT
- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
24.06.23	Tocantinópolis - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Tocantinópolis - Fluminense Piaui	1:1 ✺
14.06.23	Cordino - Tocantinópolis	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Tocantinópolis - Cordino	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Fluminense Piaui - Tocantinópolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.05.23	Tocantinópolis - Atlético Cearense	2:0

Atlético Cearense - Tocantinópolis