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Current Win Probability
Ferroviário Fortaleza 60.4%
Draw 24.4%
Atlético Cearense 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
21.8%
10.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
20.8%
9.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviário Fortaleza's form might have worsened.
Atlético Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviário Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Cearense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Tiago Santana ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, Ciel ⚽,
84', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Atlético Cearense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ferroviário has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ferroviário is the obvious favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
Watch
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