Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Central		Coria CF

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.95	6.9
	1.36	4.34	8.16
	1.32	4.25	9.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.53)	4.18 ↑ (3.6)	8.1 ↑ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Central
67%

Draw
21.8%

Coria CF
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

25.1%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

24%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Central's performance.

Coria CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria CF than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Atlético Central - Coria CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Gavilan M. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Sanchez J. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Atlético Central has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Coria CF is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Coria CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Central is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Central won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.11.25	Ceuta B - Atlético Central	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Central - Córdoba B	2:5 ✺
26.10.25	Chiclana - Atlético Central	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Central - Conil	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Central - Tomares	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWT
- Coria CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.11.25	Coria CF - Utrera	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Dos Hermanas - Coria CF	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Coria CF - Cadiz CF B	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	5:0 ✺
12.10.25	Coria CF - Bollullos	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.02.25	Coria CF - Atlético Central	1:2

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