Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Ciudad de Lucena		Coria CF

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.38	8.49
	1.31	4.3	9.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	4.34 ↓ (4.38)	9.1 ↑ (8.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Lucena
69%

Draw
21%

Coria CF
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

20.8%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

19.5%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Coria CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Coria CF aligns with the current prediction.

Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Martin J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+8', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Lucena won 3.

Ciudad de Lucena has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Coria CF is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ciudad de Lucena won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ciudad de Lucena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.10.25	Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Córdoba B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Chiclana - Ciudad de Lucena	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Conil	4:1 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Central - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLWL
- Coria CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.10.25	Coria CF - Bollullos	1:4 ✺
05.10.25	Sevilla C - Coria CF	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Atlético Onubense - Coria CF	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Coria CF - Pozoblanco	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	San Roque de Lepe - Coria CF	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.02.25	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0
24.03.24	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1
05.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	3:2
05.03.23	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1
06.11.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	2:1
21.02.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Coria CF	1:0
22.11.20	Coria CF - Ciudad de Lucena	1:2

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