The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Claypole 38%
Draw 34.4%
Deportivo Muñiz 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
30.1%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
31.4%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Claypole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Claypole's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Muñiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Muñiz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Claypole, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Muñiz than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Muñiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Claypole - Deportivo Muñiz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Bazan I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Llodra L. ⚽,
51', Lujan T. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 2 - 1, Campanelli R. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Claypole won 3.
Recent form of Atlético Claypole has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Deportivo Muñiz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Deportivo Muñiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlético Claypole has had a series of away games.
Atlético Claypole is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético Claypole won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Claypole won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.5:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Muñiz - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 21.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.