Match Info

Primera C - Round 14

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	El Porvenir		Deportivo Muñiz

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.01	3.26
	2.07	3.22	3.34	Watch
	1.89	2.9	4.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	3.04 ↑ (2.92)	3.67 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
45%

Draw
30%

Deportivo Muñiz
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

31.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

30.4%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Deportivo Muñiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Muñiz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Porvenir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Muñiz than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Muñiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

El Porvenir - Deportivo Muñiz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', (Penalty Awarded),
18', 1 - 0, De Benedetti N. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Malmoria I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Villagra L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 2.

El Porvenir is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo Muñiz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, El Porvenir is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
23.05.26	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	El Porvenir - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TLWWW
- Deportivo Muñiz
Argentinian Primera C
25.05.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Fénix	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Muñiz	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Sportivo Barracas - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Club Luján	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	General Lamadrid - Deportivo Muñiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
05.08.25	Deportivo Muñiz - El Porvenir	2:2
18.04.25	El Porvenir - Deportivo Muñiz	2:0
07.09.24	El Porvenir - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0
06.04.24	Deportivo Muñiz - El Porvenir	1:2
Argentinian Primera D
09.09.23	El Porvenir - Deportivo Muñiz	0:1
05.06.23	Deportivo Muñiz - El Porvenir	0:1
13.05.23	El Porvenir - Deportivo Muñiz	2:0

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