Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 5

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Atlético Escobar		Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	4.35	3	1.82
	4.57	3.19	1.8
	10.05	4.86	1.30	Watch
	4.5	2.9	1.83
	5.25	3.05	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↑ (2.51)	3.4 ↑ (2.65)	1.71 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Escobar
16.6%

Draw
28%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

34%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Escobar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Escobar's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy's recent form is better than expected.

Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Dormisch N. (G)
	7. Alvarez L.
	5. Bassi E.
	10. Caseres F.
	2. Flores F.
	3. Gallo M.
	8. Martinez G.
	4. Medina R.
	11. Salvaggio M.
	9. Visser B.
	6. Zarate A.
Substitutes
	19. Avalos N.
	14. Dauria M.
	18. Ferreira P.
	13. Fiol F.
	12. Ilchischen N. (G)
	16. Iturrieta J.
	20. Marfort S.
	15. Robatto V.
	17. Rosales C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Visser B. ⚽,
4', Cupolo N. 🟨,
31', Mino L. 🟨,
34', Nunez L. 🟨,
45+2', Medina R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 🟨,
53', 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Salvaggio M. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Escobar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.04.26	9 de Julio - Atlético Escobar	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	El Linqueño - Atlético Escobar	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Atlético Escobar - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Atlético Escobar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
24.02.26	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTLL

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