Match Info

Sergipano - Round 4

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Gloriense		Confiança

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.5	1.65
	4.17	3.29	1.78
	4.73	3.52	1.67	Watch
	4.33	3.3	1.73
	3.79	4.1	1.74
	4.2	3.33	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↓ (7.4)	3.51 ↓ (5.01)	1.72 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Gloriense
21.2%

Draw
26%

Confiança
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

18.2%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Gloriense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Gloriense's performance.

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Confiança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Atlético Gloriense - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Fabio. J. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Gean ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 2 - 1, Icaro ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Gloriense won 0.

In this match, Confiança is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético Gloriense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Gloriense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Gloriense
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
21.01.26	América de Propriá - Atlético Gloriense	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Gloriense - Desportiva Aracaju	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Itabaiana - Atlético Gloriense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Sergipano 2
25.10.25	Desportiva Aracaju - Atlético Gloriense	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Boca Júnior - Atlético Gloriense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLLW
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
21.01.26	Confiança - Falcon	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Confiança - Lagarto	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Desportiva Aracaju - Confiança	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	Decisão - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.09.25	Bahia - Confiança	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
22.02.24	Confiança - Atlético Gloriense	4:0
21.01.23	Confiança - Atlético Gloriense	2:1
19.03.22	Atlético Gloriense - Confiança	0:0
07.02.22	Confiança - Atlético Gloriense	2:2
17.04.21	Atlético Gloriense - Confiança	1:1
20.02.21	Confiança - Atlético Gloriense	2:1

Atlético Gloriense - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide