Match Info

Copa Governo - Round 1

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Gloriense		Desportiva Aracaju

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Atlético Gloriense
38.4%

Draw
27%

Desportiva Aracaju
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Gloriense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Gloriense's form might have worsened.

Desportiva Aracaju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desportiva Aracaju's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Gloriense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Gloriense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Gloriense
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
14.02.26	Atlético Gloriense - Dorense	5:0 ✺
10.02.26	Sergipe - Atlético Gloriense	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Gloriense - Lagarto	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Falcon - Atlético Gloriense	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Guarany de Porto da Folha - Atlético Gloriense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLL
- Desportiva Aracaju
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
14.02.26	Falcon - Desportiva Aracaju	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Desportiva Aracaju - Lagarto	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Guarany de Porto da Folha - Desportiva Aracaju	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Desportiva Aracaju - Sergipe	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	América de Propriá - Desportiva Aracaju	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLT

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
18.01.26	Atlético Gloriense - Desportiva Aracaju	1:1
Brazilian Sergipano 2
25.10.25	Desportiva Aracaju - Atlético Gloriense	2:1

Atlético Gloriense - Desportiva Aracaju