Match Info

Champions League Women - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gasperotti S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	21:00	Disney+
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	ESPN 2, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	21:00	Disney+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Disney+
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Disney+
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Disney+
Cyprus	22:00	Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Estonia	22:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	Disney+
Greece	22:00	Disney+, MEGA News
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	Disney+
Iceland	20:00	Disney+
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	Disney+
Kazakhstan	02:00	Disney+
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Disney+
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	14:00	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	21:00	Disney+
Nigeria	21:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	21:00	Disney+, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	Disney+
Romania	22:00	Disney+
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	21:00	Disney+
South Africa	22:00	SupeSport ESPN
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
Spain	21:00	3Cat, Disney+, Esport 3, Esport3
Sweden	21:00	Discovery+, Disney+
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii, TRT Spor
United Kingdom	20:00	Disney+, MUTV
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter


	Atlético Madrid		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.85
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	3.7	3.45	1.92
	3.8	3.53	1.92
	3.66	3.64	1.94	Watch
	3.5	3.2	1.85
	3.69	3.45	1.86
	3.66	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.98)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	1.94 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
26%

Draw
26.4%

Manchester United
47.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.9%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Atlético Madrid - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Man Utd (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lola (C) 23. Alexia 15. Lloris S. 4. Lauren Leal 11. Menayo C. 3. Medina A. 6. Boe Risa V. 21. Iannuzzi F. 17. Bartel J. 7. Jensen S. 20. Sarriegi A.	91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 14. Riviere J. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 17. Janssen D. 2. Sandberg A. 20. Miyazawa H. 18. Zigiotti Olme J. 8. Park J. 19. Wangerheim E. 10. Terland E. 9. Malard M.
Substitutes
31. Bucero A. (G) 16. Chinchilla P. 18. Gio Garbelini 9. Guijarro S. 46. Gutierrez D. 12. Kuhl K. 13. Larque P. (G) 27. Martin N. 14. Otermin R. 5. Perez X. 19. Portales Nieto M. 41. Rodriguez L.	13. Awujo S. 3. George G. 5. Lundkvist H. 39. Middleton-Patel S. (G) 16. Naalsund L. 1. Rendell K. (G) 24. Schuller L. 21. Turner M.
Coaches
Herrera J.	Skinner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Terland E. ⚽, Malard M. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Malard M. ⚽,
44', Lloris S. ↓, Perez X. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Sandberg A. ↓, George G. ↑,
58', Wangerheim E. 🟨,
59', Bartel J. ↓, Kuhl K. ↑,
59', Menayo C. ↓, Otermin R. ↑,
61', Wangerheim E. ↓, Naalsund L. ↑,
72', Sarriegi A. 🟨,
73', Jensen S. ↓, Guijarro S. ↑,
74', Sarriegi A. ↓, Gio Garbelini ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Zigiotti Olme J. ⚽, Malard M. (A),
83', Park J. ↓, Awujo S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Atlético Madrid has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Man Utd is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Man Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Man Utd is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Madrid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Madrid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid Féminas
Spanish Liga F Women
08.02.26	Levante - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
04.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	4:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
31.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Granada	1:1 ✺
Spanish Supercopa Women
20.01.26	Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid	3:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
17.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWTLL
- Manchester United WFC
English WSL
07.02.26	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Manchester United - Liverpool LFC	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aston Villa - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.01.26	Arsenal LFC - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
18.01.26	Manchester United - Burnley	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
16.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	0:1

Upcoming Matches