Match Info

WSL - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Leigh Sports Village (Leigh)

Referee: Cross P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet+
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport
Usa	Paramount+
World	OneFootball TV


	Manchester United		Liverpool LFC

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.80	3.50
	1.83	3.60	3.30
	1.94	3.55	3.45
	2.02	4.14	3.21
	2.09	3.76	3.08	Watch
	2.00	4.05	3.00
	1.92	3.81	3.51
	1.90	3.70	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 (1.95)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	3.29 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
47.6%

Draw
24.3%

Liverpool LFC
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Liverpool LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Manchester United - Liverpool LFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 5. Lundkvist H. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 17. Janssen D. 2. Sandberg A. 15. Zigiotti Olme J. 20. Miyazawa H. 8. Park J. 7. Toone E. 6. Medina A. 10. Terland E.	12. Keating K. (G) 24. Kerr S. 17. Clark J. 4. Fisk G. (C) 29. Bernabe A. 8. Nagano F. 25. Bergstrom A. 19. MacLean K. 6. Ramos N. 7. Kapocs C. 11. Olsson B.
Substitutes
13. Awujo S. 16. Bernal R. 36. Griffiths M. 22. Hill S. 23. Jusu Bah M. 25. Leitzig J. (G) 24. Schuller L. 26. Simpson J. 19. Wangerheim E.	48. Breen I. 13. Enderby M. 14. Hobinger M. 26. Itamura M. 22. Kirby F. (G) 57. McDonald N. 36. Shaw Z. 87. Trueman M. 16. Woodham L.
Coaches
Olid E.	Taylor G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Zigiotti Olme J. ⚽,
42', Ramos N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Medina A. 🟨,
52', Medina A. ↓, Griffiths M. ↑,
54', MacLean K. 🟨,
58', MacLean K. ↓, Hobinger M. ↑,
67', Toone E. ↓, Awujo S. ↑,
77', Ramos N. ↓, Itamura M. ↑,
81', Terland E. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,
84', Bergstrom A. ↓, Enderby M. ↑,
86', Awujo S. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 3.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Liverpool could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Man Utd holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Man Utd: Ildhusoy C. (Maternity leave) Riviere J. (Muscle Injury) Rolfo F. (Maternity leave) Watson E. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Liverpool: Csillag A. (Calf Injury) Holland C. (Muscle Injury) Itamura M. (Chest Injury) Josendal A. (Thigh Injury) Parry L. (Calf Injury) Ward M. (Injury).

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Man Utd has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:9 (averaging 1.9:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Man Utd against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 20:5 goals (averaging 2.9:0.7 per game).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Liverpool W: 0.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Liverpool W	5	2	1	2	9:6	3	7
7	Manchester Utd W	5	2	1	2	5:9	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United WFC
English League Cup Women
30.09.26	Durham - Manchester United	1:5 ✺
English WSL
27.09.26	Manchester United - West Ham	2:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.09.26	Manchester United - Sheffield United	10:1 ✺
English WSL
19.09.26	Arsenal LFC - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Manchester United - Chelsea	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWTL
- Liverpool LFC
English League Cup Women
30.09.26	Birmingham City LFC - Liverpool LFC	3:4 ✺
English WSL
27.09.26	Liverpool LFC - Everton	2:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.09.26	Liverpool LFC - Sunderland	4:2 ✺
English WSL
18.09.26	Manchester City - Liverpool LFC	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Liverpool LFC - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
01.02.26	Manchester United - Liverpool LFC	3:1
28.09.25	Liverpool LFC - Manchester United	0:2
Club Friendly Women
20.08.25	Manchester United - Liverpool LFC	2:2
English WSL
14.03.25	Liverpool LFC - Manchester United	3:1
08.12.24	Manchester United - Liverpool LFC	4:0
English League Cup Women
02.10.24	Manchester United - Liverpool LFC	2:0
English WSL
05.05.24	Liverpool LFC - Manchester United	1:0

Manchester United - Liverpool LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide