Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Referee: Olmedo O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Atlético Madrid		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.15	9.2
	1.22	4.9	7.8
	1.26	5.22	12.24	Watch
	1.22	5	11
	1.21	5.15	12.9
	1.22	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	5.15 ↑ (4.18)	10.69 ↑ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
73.9%

Draw
17.6%

Sevilla
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

21.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid's performance.

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Madrid - Sevilla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Madrid (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lola (C) 23. Alexia 4. Lauren Leal 15. Lloris S. 3. Medina A. 8. Garcia G. 6. Boe Risa V. 22. Luany 21. Iannuzzi F. 14. Otermin R. 20. Sarriegi A.	1. Sullastres E. (C) 17. Garcia D. 5. Llamas E. 4. Alvarez I. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E. 6. Redondo A. 16. Arnaiz I. 9. Kanteh Cham F. 20. Marquez R. 7. Morcillo R. 23. Gabarro I.
Substitutes
17. Bartel J. 28. Gomez C. 9. Guijarro S. 13. Larque P. (G) 27. Martin N. 11. Menayo C. 19. Portales Nieto M. 41. Rodriguez L.	19. Cerrato A. 10. Cortes M. 13. Echezarreta M. (G) 22. Hagel C. 30. Lopez A. 24. Marques A. 34. Torres J.
Coaches
Alba V.	Losada D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Morcillo R. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Marquez R. ⚽, Martin-Pozuelo E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Otermin R. 🟨,
53', Arnaiz I. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Sarriegi A. ⚽, Luany (A),
61', Alexia ↓, Menayo C. ↑,
61', Otermin R. ↓, Guijarro S. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Alvarez I. (Own goal),
70', Lloris S. 🟨,
71', Redondo A. ↓, Hagel C. ↑,
72', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
82', Gabarro I. ↓, Cerrato A. ↑,
82', Morcillo R. ↓, Moral L. ↑,
87', Boe Risa V. ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
90+2', Marques A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 3.

Atlético Madrid has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sevilla is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Atlético Madrid is the obvious favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:12. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 2.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid Féminas
Spanish Liga F Women
23.11.25	Tenerife - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.11.25	Twente - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
16.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Badalona	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
12.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
09.11.25	Logroño United - Atlético Madrid	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW
- Sevilla FC Women
Spanish Liga F Women
22.11.25	Sevilla - Deportivo A Coruña	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Sevilla - Logroño United	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Granada - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
06.11.25	Real Oviedo - Sevilla	2:3 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
01.11.25	Badalona - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
07.02.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:0
17.11.24	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:2
09.06.24	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:1
07.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	2:1
29.01.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:1
17.09.22	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:3
13.02.22	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	5:0

Atlético Madrid - Sevilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide