Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 27

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)

Referee: Planes M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Sevilla		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	7.3	4.85	1.31
	7.66	4.92	1.34
	7.73	5.08	1.35	Watch
	7	4.4	1.33
	8.25	4.62	1.37
	6.4	4.1	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (6.4)	4.66 ↑ (4.1)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sevilla
12.3%

Draw
19.6%

Real Madrid
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

21.2%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

17.5%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sevilla - Real Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sullastres E. (C) 17. Garcia D. 24. Marques A. 4. Alvarez I. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E. 6. Redondo A. 20. Marquez R. 7. Morcillo R. 9. Kanteh Cham F. 10. Cortes M. 8. Alvarez A.	13. Frohms M. (G) 19. Navarro E. 23. Lakrar M. 4. Galvez Luna R. (C) 15. Garcia S. 10. Weir C. 16. Angeldal F. 8. Dabritz S. 11. Redondo A. 18. Caicedo L. 20. Feller N.
Substitutes
27. Aguilar C. 16. Arnaiz I. 35. Barrios X. 19. Cerrato A. 37. Duran C. 13. Echezarreta M. (G) 28. Galvez A. 21. Gili Giner G. 22. Hagel C. 30. Lopez A. 34. Torres J.	22. Andersson B. 2. Antonia 27. Bejarano N. 17. Bennison H. 5. Comendador P. 28. Dorado I. 33. Folgado A. 14. Mendez M. 1. Misa (G) 43. Santiago I. 12. Yasmim
Coaches
Losada D.	Quesada P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Cortes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Redondo A. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),
54', Cortes M. ↓, Gili Giner G. ↑,
62', Marques A. 🟨,
76', Alvarez A. ↓, Barrios X. ↑,
76', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Cerrato A. ↑,
79', Redondo A. ↓, Santiago I. ↑,
79', Garcia S. ↓, Yasmim ↑,
85', Yasmim ↓, Bejarano N. ↑,
85', Caicedo L. ↓, Antonia ↑,
87', Marques A. ↓, Arnaiz I. ↑,
90+3', Weir C. ↓, Mendez M. ↑,
90+4', Antonia 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Feller N. ⚽, Dabritz S. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Real Madrid is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Madrid W	6	4	1	1	13:13	0	13
10	Sevilla FC W	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC Women
Spanish Liga F Women
26.04.26	Tenerife - Sevilla	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Logroño United - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Sevilla - Granada	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sevilla - Badalona	1:5 ✺
15.03.26	Alhama - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
26.04.26	Real Madrid - Logroño United	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Madrid CFF - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
02.04.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	6:0 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
29.03.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
10.01.26	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0
09.03.25	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:4
07.12.24	Real Madrid - Sevilla	4:1
09.03.24	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:1
09.12.23	Real Madrid - Sevilla	1:3
05.05.23	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:2
30.10.22	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0

Sevilla - Real Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide