Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Atlético Madrid B		Sevilla B

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.3	6.5
	1.55	3.45	6.5
	1.55	3.59	7.03
	1.57	3.42	7.12	Watch
	1.5	3.25	6.5
	1.5	3.32	7.65
	1.52	3.4	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 (1.53)	3.39 ↓ (3.46)	6.8 ↑ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
59.7%

Draw
26.9%

Sevilla B
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

26.4%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

25.7%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atlético Madrid B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Atlético Madrid B - Sevilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 3. Diaz J. 7. Luque I. 6. Serrano J. 10. Belaid R. 18. Bellotti M. 23. Ortiz A. 30. Llorente M.	1. Romero R. (G) 24. Espineira A. 14. Jalade R. 19. Martinez S. 3. Lopez D. 26. Costa A. 6. Rivera P. 10. Collado A. 27. Guillen N. 20. Raihani A. 17. Sow I.
Substitutes
20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 22. Gimenez C. 9. Janneh O. 11. Koke 26. Monserrate J. 14. Morcillo J. 24. Najera R. 21. Sits D. 12. Spina G.	31. Alcaide E. 8. Altozano E. 15. Bozada J. . Calero J. A. (G) 42. Ciria A. 34. Diaz M. 23. Dominguez I. . Fernandez M. 2. Moreno J. 7. Sierra M. 18. Villar I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bellotti M. ⚽,
26', Costa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Raihani A. ↓, Dominguez I. ↑,
64', Sow B. ↓, Alcaide E. ↑,
64', Collado A. ↓, Ciria A. ↑,
68', Luque I. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
68', Ortiz A. ↓, Koke ↑,
84', Llorente M. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
90', Bonar J. 🟨,
90+3', Belaid R. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
90+3', Bellotti M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+7', Altozano E. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Madrid B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sevilla B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sevilla B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Madrid B is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.25	Marbella - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Teruel	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWT
- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.12.25	Sevilla B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Sevilla B - Marbella	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sabadell - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Antequera - Sevilla B	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sevilla B - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.05.25	Sevilla B - Atlético Madrid B	1:0
14.12.24	Atlético Madrid B - Sevilla B	0:1

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