Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Marbella		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.65	2.98	2.08
	3.71	2.99	2.17
	3.7	3.01	2.14	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.1
	3.73	2.89	2.06
	3.6	2.9	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.79)	2.92 ↓ (3.03)	2.09 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
25.1%

Draw
31.3%

Atlético Madrid B
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.8%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbella's form might have worsened.

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marbella - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Madrid B will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Madrid B: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Madrid B (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Marbella (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Atlético Madrid B (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Atlético Madrid B (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Marbella (votes: 1 - 20%). Atlético Madrid B (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 12. Fattore V. 4. Punal A. 23. Escassi A. 3. Martinez A. 11. Boussefiane H. 8. Eugeni 6. Lopez A. 19. Ohemeng E. 9. Rodri 20. Cambra J.	13. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. 3. Diaz J. 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 18. Bellotti M. 14. Morcillo J. 11. Koke 10. Belaid R. 23. Ortiz A. 21. Sits D.
Substitutes
5. Acosta L. 17. Alexiel 2. Alvarez J. 18. Du Yuezheng 15. Gabri 30. Guzman T. 10. Luis Alcalde 27. Moro H. 25. Munoz L. 16. Ruiz A. 22. Toper 13. Vassilev D. (G)	8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 22. Gimenez C. 28. Hueso R. 9. Janneh O. 30. Llorente M. 7. Luque I. 26. Monserrate J. 24. Najera R. 6. Serrano J. 12. Spina G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Bellotti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Gabri 🟨,
65', Ortiz A. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
65', Koke ↓, Luque I. ↑,
65', Sits D. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
67', Cambra J. ↓, Alexiel ↑,
67', Ohemeng E. ↓, Munoz L. ↑,
78', Rodri ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
84', Morcillo J. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
84', Belaid R. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
86', Eugeni ↓, Guzman T. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 1, Monserrate J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Marbella has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético Madrid B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marbella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Marbella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.25	Marbella - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sevilla B - Marbella	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Marbella - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Teruel - Marbella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.25	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Teruel	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Eldense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.04.25	Marbella - Atlético Madrid B	2:0
01.12.24	Atlético Madrid B - Marbella	3:2

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