Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 32

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid B		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.47	3.9	6.5
	1.51	3.86	6.43
	1.47	3.98	6.45
	1.46	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	3.95 ↑ (3.5)	6.32 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
62.3%

Draw
23.2%

Unión Adarve
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid B's performance.

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Adarve might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Adarve could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Atlético Madrid B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Madrid B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Madrid B is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.04.23	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
16.04.23	Atlético Madrid B - Socuéllamos	3:0 ✺
09.04.23	Diocesano - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Atlético Madrid B - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Villanovense - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWT
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.04.23	Leganés B - Unión Adarve	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Unión Adarve - CD Guadalajara	1:3 ✺
09.04.23	Socuéllamos - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Unión Adarve - Diocesano	2:2 ✺
26.03.23	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.12.22	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid B	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.01.19	Atlético Madrid B - Unión Adarve	2:0
26.08.18	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
14.01.18	Atlético Madrid B - Unión Adarve	2:1
27.08.17	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid B	2:2

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