Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Cacereño		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.5	7
	1.46	3.7	6.5
	1.42	3.85	7.4
	1.4	4.04	9
	1.42	3.87	7.98	Watch
	1.52	3.66	7.32
	1.42	3.85	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.63)	3.78 ↑ (3.28)	7.51 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
63.6%

Draw
24.2%

Unión Adarve
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

27.6%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

26.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Cacereño - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Deco ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cacereño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cacereño is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	Cacereño - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Cacereño - Melilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTLL
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.03.25	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Adarve - Melilla	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Unión Adarve - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Unión Adarve - Cacereño	0:0
18.02.24	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:1
08.10.23	Unión Adarve - Cacereño	2:2
26.03.23	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	0:1
06.11.22	Unión Adarve - Cacereño	0:0

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