Match Info

Primera Federacion Women - Round 20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Madrid B		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	2.91	3.34	2.26	Watch
	2.88	3	2.25
	2.91	3.23	2.34
	2.25	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.25)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	2.49 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
33.7%

Draw
29.2%

Villarreal
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid B's form might have worsened.

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Federacion Women (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atlético Madrid B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atl. Madrid B W	4	3	0	1	13:12	1	9
7	Villarreal W	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B Féminas
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
14.02.26	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid B	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Fundación Albacete - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Betis - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTT
- Villarreal CF Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
15.02.26	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Villarreal - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Barcelona B - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Villarreal - SE AEM	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Real Oviedo - Villarreal	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
06.09.25	Villarreal - Atlético Madrid B	1:2
01.02.25	Villarreal - Atlético Madrid B	1:2
19.10.24	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal	1:2

Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide