Match Info

Primera Federacion Women - Round 19

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva del Villareal (Villarreal)


	Villarreal		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	4.32	4.09	1.58
	4.49	4.27	1.59	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.53
	5.28	3.72	1.55
	5	3.66	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↓ (4.8)	3.87 ↑ (3.45)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
19%

Draw
23.4%

Deportivo Alavés
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

26.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

26%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Villarreal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Federacion Women (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Federacion Women (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Alavés is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Villarreal W	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
07.02.26	Villarreal - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Barcelona B - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Villarreal - SE AEM	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Real Oviedo - Villarreal	1:4 ✺
10.01.26	Villarreal - Betis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW
- Deportivo Alavés Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
07.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	SE AEM - Deportivo Alavés	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid B	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Fundación Albacete - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Federacion Women
01.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:2
13.04.25	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0
21.09.24	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
Spanish Liga F Women
28.01.23	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
01.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	0:4
08.01.22	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	3:1
25.09.21	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	2:0

Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide