Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Atlético Madrid C		Conquense

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.30	1.85
	3.30	3.20	1.98
	2.90	3.25	2.15
	3.77	3.38	1.95
	3.18	3.33	2.12	Watch
	3.70	3.30	1.91
	3.77	3.46	1.94
	3.35	3.20	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.39)	3.3 ↓ (3.34)	1.98 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid C
26.4%

Draw
27.6%

Conquense
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid C's form might have worsened.

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Conquense's recent form is better than expected.

Atlético Madrid C - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Ortega G. T. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Vega A. ⚽,
64', Gomes V. 🟨,
72', 3 - 1, Ortega G. T. ⚽,
90+5', Auguste B. 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 2, Gonzalez M. ⚽,

Preview

Conquense is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Atlético C could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Conquense holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Madrid C	5	4	0	1	8:5	3	12
4	Conquense	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.09.26	Atlético Madrid C - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Paso - Atlético Madrid C	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Madrid C - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.05.26	Atlético Madrid C - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Madrid C - Racing Madrid	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTW
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.09.26	Navalcarnero - Conquense	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Conquense - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Conquense	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Conquense - Getafe B	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Conquense - CD Guadalajara	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTW

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