Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid C		Leganés B

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.3	2.45
	2.65	3.35	2.54
	2.62	3.16	2.61	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.45
	2.59	3.1	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.36)	3.2 ↓ (3.33)	2.5 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid C
35.1%

Draw
28.5%

Leganés B
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.6%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Leganés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Atlético Madrid C - Leganés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Atlético C has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leganés B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leganés B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Leganes B	5	2	1	2	9:6	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.03.26	Trival Valderas - Atlético Madrid C	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid C - Torrejón	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Parla - Atlético Madrid C	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Madrid C - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	México - Atlético Madrid C	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TTWTL
- Leganés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.02.26	Leganés B - Siello	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Leganés B	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Leganés B - Galapagar	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Leganés B - Trival Valderas	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Torrejón - Leganés B	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.10.25	Leganés B - Atlético Madrid C	2:2

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