The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pozuelo de Alarcón 24.1%
Draw 27.4%
Leganés B 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
28.4%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
28.4%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Leganés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (-4%)
Pozuelo de Alarcón - Leganés B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Reguilon M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Leganés B could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Leganes B
5
2
1
2
9:6
3
7
12
Pozuelo de Alarcon
5
1
3
1
7:10
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Leganés B - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 44.5%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.