Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Malagueño		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.68	2.52
	3.67	2.91	2.27
	2.93	2.95	2.5
	2.52	2.82	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.66)	2.84 ↑ (2.82)	2.54 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Malagueño
30.8%

Draw
32.7%

Estepona
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Malagueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Malagueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estepona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Malagueño - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Castedo J. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Tato R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 3, Duarte J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malagueño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Malagueño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	Antoniano - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Malagueño - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Xerez Deportivo - Atlético Malagueño	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Malagueño - Almeria B	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	CD Extremadura - Atlético Malagueño	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLL
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	Estepona - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Xerez CD - Estepona	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Estepona - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Minera - Estepona	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Estepona - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.08.25	Atlético Malagueño - Estepona	1:0

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