Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 4Date: 28 September 2025, SundayLocation: Chapín (Jerez)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Xerez CD |
|
Estepona |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
2.72 |
4.25 |
|
 |
2 |
2.83 |
4.62 |
|
 |
2.14 |
2.90 |
3.73 |
 Watch |
 |
2.04 |
2.81 |
4.24 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.24) |
2.82 ↓
(3.16) |
4.21 ↑
(2.97) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Xerez CD
45.4% | Draw
32.7% | Estepona
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estepona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xerez CD that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estepona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Xerez CD - Estepona Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Xerez is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Estepona is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Xerez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Xerez is a strong favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).Including home match between the teams, Xerez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Xerez CD - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.58%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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