Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 12

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes (Nova Lima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, N Sports, Sky+, Vivo Play


	Atlético Mineiro		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.4	1.68
	4.74	3.61	1.71
	4.98	3.34	1.76	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.67
	4.79	3.58	1.63
	4.7	3.55	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (4.7)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)	1.69 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
19.4%

Draw
26.4%

Ferroviária
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

25.7%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

25.2%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atlético Mineiro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Atlético Mineiro - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iasmin Paixao (G) 17. Amalia 25. Barraca 6. Diovanna 23. Hingredy (C) 10. Isadora Freitas 20. Lari Sanchez 8. Laura Maria 2. Nine 55. Pimenta 27. Thalita	1. Luciana (G) 74. Andressa Pereira 60. Brenda Pinheiro 20. Camila 16. Dos Santos 13. Grazy 2. Kati 8. Maressa 11. Mariana Santos 10. Micaelly 23. Thayslane
Substitutes
9. Anny Maraba 22. Caniza I. (G) 11. Day 28. Kaiuska 24. Karen 4. Karen Bender 16. Karol Dias 7. Kelen 3. Lopez Maldonado V. G. 33. Maiara 18. Ramos C. 26. Tay Belarmino	12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 24. Benitez Cabrera D. E. 21. Dudinha Freitas 17. Julia Beatriz 26. Maria Fernanda 3. Monique 19. Rhaissa 30. Sissi 9. Vendito

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Hingredy 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Thayslane ⚽,
37', Maressa 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Pimenta ⚽,
41', Brenda Pinheiro 🟨,
45', Lari Sanchez 🟨,
45+3', Thalita 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Brenda Pinheiro ↓, Maria Fernanda ↑,
46', Lari Sanchez ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
49', 🟨,
63', Amalia ↓, Karen Bender ↑,
66', Micaelly ↓, Vendito ↑,
66', Mariana Santos ↓, Sissi ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Isadora Freitas ⚽,
75', Thalita ↓, Anny Maraba ↑,
82', Maressa ↓, Rhaissa ↑,
82', Kati ↓, Benitez Cabrera D. E. ↑,
86', Pimenta ↓, Kaiuska ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Sissi ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Grazy ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Atlético MG has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferroviária is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ferroviária has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ferroviária is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
16.05.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	4:1 ✺
01.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWT
- Ferroviária Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
21.05.26	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
18.05.26	Ferroviária - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
06.05.26	Ferroviária - Santos	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
01.05.26	Ferroviária - Mixto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
17.08.24	Ferroviária - Atlético Mineiro	3:2
27.02.23	Atlético Mineiro - Ferroviária	2:4
03.08.22	Ferroviária - Atlético Mineiro	2:1

Atlético Mineiro - Ferroviária: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide