Match Info

Mineiro Women - Round 2

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	América Mineiro		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.30	1.75
	3.90	3.35	1.75
	3.45	3.63	1.83
	3.67	3.68	1.82
	3.40	3.45	1.80
	4.32	3.60	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4.83)	3.5 ↓ (3.8)	1.78 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
23.8%

Draw
25.7%

Atlético Mineiro
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

24.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.8%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.

América MG is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético MG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético MG is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atletico-MG W ✔	4	3	1	0	17:1	16	10
4	America Mineiro W	5	2	0	3	15:8	7	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
22.08.26	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Fluminense - América Mineiro	4:1 ✺
10.08.26	América Mineiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	América Mineiro - Santos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTLL
- Atlético Mineiro Women
Brazilian Mineiro Women
09.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Itabirito	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
22.08.26	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Bahia	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Mixto - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
16.05.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:2
Brazilian Mineiro Women
08.11.25	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	5:0 penalties
01.11.25	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	4:0
12.10.25	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	1:1
19.10.24	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:0
Brasileiro Women
13.04.24	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	6:0
Brasileiro A2 Women
17.07.21	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	0:0

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