Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 7

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Atlético Mineiro U20		Botafogo RJ U20

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3
	2.02	3.55	3.1
	2.17	3.52	3.1
	2.11	3.48	3.06	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.05
	2.02	3.55	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro U20
44.1%

Draw
26.2%

Botafogo RJ U20
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Botafogo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro U20 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Atlético Mineiro U20 - Botafogo RJ U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Rafael Lobato ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Kauan Guilherme ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Souza L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 2 - 2, Kauan Toledo ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG U20 won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Botafogo U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético MG U20 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Atlético MG U20 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG U20 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro U20
Brasileiro U20
14.04.25	Corinthians U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:2 ✺
09.04.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:1 ✺
02.04.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Bahia U20	3:1 ✺
26.03.25	Grêmio U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:2 ✺
17.03.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Santos U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWTT
- Botafogo RJ U20
Brasileiro U20
16.04.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - São Paulo U20	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
12.04.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Artsul U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
09.04.25	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
05.04.25	Maricá U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.04.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Corinthians U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
15.08.24	Botafogo RJ U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:0
22.03.23	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:0
07.08.22	Botafogo RJ U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	1:0
22.10.21	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:0
17.10.21	Botafogo RJ U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	0:0
05.09.21	Botafogo RJ U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:2
23.09.20	Botafogo RJ U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:3

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