Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 5

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Palmeiras U20		Botafogo RJ U20

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.4	5.25
	1.44	4.5	5.6
	1.42	4.67	5.83	Watch
	1.5	4.26	5.97
	1.44	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	4.47 ↓ (4.53)	5.65 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras U20
63.3%

Draw
20.5%

Botafogo RJ U20
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

21.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Botafogo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Sorriso ⚽, Heittor (A),
8', 2 - 0, Heittor ⚽, Sorriso (A),
17', 3 - 0, Ramon ⚽, Benedetti (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 4 - 0, Sorriso ⚽, Larson (A),
90', 5 - 0, Rafael Coutinho ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras U20 won 4.

Recent matches Palmeiras U20 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo U20 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palmeiras U20 is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Palmeiras U20 won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:6 (average 2.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras U20 won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:3 (average 2.7:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.1%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras U20
Brasileiro U20
03.04.25	Santos U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Juventude U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Palmeiras U20 - Internacional U20	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Palmeiras U20 - Bahia U20	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores U20
16.03.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWWL
- Botafogo RJ U20
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
05.04.25	Maricá U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.04.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Corinthians U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
29.03.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Americano RJ U20	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
26.03.25	Juventude U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
22.03.25	Bangu U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
10.07.24	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:1
25.07.23	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	4:0
21.07.23	Botafogo RJ U20 - Palmeiras U20	3:3
17.07.22	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:0
25.07.21	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:2
20.12.20	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:0
03.07.19	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:0

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