The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palmeiras U20 63.7%
Draw 21.2%
Botafogo RJ U20 15.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.2%
23.7%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
22.1%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palmeiras U20's performance.
Botafogo RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Lima K. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Fabiano ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Caio Valle (Penalty Awarded),
68', 2 - 1, Bilong M. C. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Vinicius (Penalty Awarded),
83', Riquelme 🟥,
90+3', 4 - 1, Luis Arthur ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 4.
Palmeiras U20 has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Botafogo U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Palmeiras U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Palmeiras U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Palmeiras U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.56.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras U20 has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:6 (averaging 2.9:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Palmeiras U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 21:3 goals (averaging 3:0.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 58.17%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
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