Match Info

Liga Women - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)


	Atlético Nacional		Inter Bogotá

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.50	5.25
	1.48	3.55	6.25
	1.59	3.47	5.09
	1.59	3.6	5.34	Watch
	1.57	3.40	5.00
	1.68	3.22	5.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.47)	3.46 ↓ (3.9)	5.44 ↓ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
57.2%

Draw
26.2%

Inter Bogotá
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

23.5%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.2%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.

Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Atlético Nacional - Inter Bogotá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Castano S. (G) 6. Ocampo L. 15. Vidal K. 16. Garcia S. 3. Zambrano A. 5. Cedeno S. 7. Martinez S. (C) 8. Moreno M. 10. Alvarez L. 21. Ibarguen K. 9. Gonzalez M.	95. Cordoba V. (G) 3. Rondon K. 4. Torres M. 5. Castillo L. 14. Diaz V. 16. Mosquera H. 6. Russi C. 8. Valbuena P. (C) 11. Rodriguez Y. 29. Alzate D. 7. Cabrera W.
Substitutes
11. Builes S. 28. Corena J. 4. Isaza E. 26. Munera M. (G) 27. Orozco M. 20. Orrego S. 13. Robayo L. 25. Sanchez A. 23. Torres Z.	27. Gaviria D. 19. Guisamano M. J. 2. Lambrano D. 18. Moreno C. 13. Ramirez G. 15. Torres N. 34. Velasquez C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Alvarez L. ⚽,
32', Diaz V. ↓, Guisamano M. J. ↑,
32', Alzate D. ↓, Lambrano D. ↑,
39', Castillo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Guisamano M. J. 🟨,
50', Rondon K. 🟨,
51', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
64', Mosquera H. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
75', Ocampo L. ↓, Isaza E. ↑,
75', Gonzalez M. ↓, Corena J. ↑,
79', Martinez S. 🟨,
80', Russi C. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
80', Lambrano D. ↓, Gaviria D. ↑,
83', Alvarez L. ↓, Builes S. ↑,
86', Cabrera W. 🟥,
90+5', Martinez S. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Atlético Nacional is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin Women
Colombian Liga Women
31.08.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
27.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	Inter Palmira - Atlético Nacional	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW
- Internacional de Bogotá Women
Colombian Liga Women
31.08.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
27.08.26	Inter Bogotá - Inter Palmira	3:0 ✺
24.08.26	Millonarios - Inter Bogotá	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Pasto - Inter Bogotá	0:0 ✺
27.07.26	Inter Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
31.08.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Nacional	1:3
29.05.26	Atlético Nacional - Inter Bogotá	2:0

Atlético Nacional - Inter Bogotá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide