Match Info

Liga Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)


	Atlético Nacional		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.70	2.50
	2.70	2.90	2.45
	3.01	2.84	2.61
	2.91	2.77	2.58	Watch
	2.95	2.45	2.55
	2.86	2.82	2.66
	2.85	2.70	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.7)	2.74 ↓ (2.9)	2.55 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
31.5%

Draw
33%

Deportivo Cali
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

30.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

31.2%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Castano S. (G) 15. Vidal K. 16. Garcia S. 3. Zambrano A. 6. Ocampo L. 7. Martinez S. 8. Moreno M. 4. Isaza E. 5. Cedeno S. 9. Gonzalez M. 21. Ibarguen K.	12. Sanchez M. (G) 3. Osorio K. 24. Bermeo J. (C) 5. Perlaza S. 2. Salazar A. 26. Sanchez L. 29. Morales M. 23. Montoya Z. 20. Viancha K. 30. Cobos L. 19. Aponza M.
Substitutes
11. Builes S. 24. Cabeza D. 28. Corena J. 29. Marquinez D. 26. Munera M. (G) 20. Orrego S. 13. Robayo L. 25. Sanchez A. 23. Torres Z.	10. Castellanos D. 4. Fisgativa A. 31. Gonzalez V. (G) 18. Guerra I. 6. Medina P. 17. Moreno L. 44. Ruiz N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Ocampo L. 🟨,
20', Sanchez L. 🟨,
29', Martinez S. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Ibarguen K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sanchez L. ↓, Medina P. ↑,
46', Cobos L. ↓, Guerra I. ↑,
46', Ocampo L. ↓, Corena J. ↑,
53', Zambrano A. 🟨,
53', Viancha K. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Guerra I. ⚽, Viancha K. (A),
63', 1 - 2, Aponza M. ⚽, Guerra I. (A),
64', Gonzalez M. ↓, Robayo L. ↑,
74', Isaza E. ↓, Torres Z. ↑,
77', Moreno M. 🟨,
79', Moreno M. ↓, Marquinez D. ↑,
85', Aponza M. ↓, Fisgativa A. ↑,
90+1', Medina P. 🟨,
90+2', Torres Z. 🟨,
90+2', Viancha K. ↓, Castellanos D. ↑,
90+7', Ibarguen K. ↓, Orrego S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin Women
Colombian Liga Women
12.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Inter Palmira	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Inter Bogotá	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Nacional	1:3 ✺
27.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL
- Deportivo Cali Women
Colombian Liga Women
12.09.26	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Deportivo Cali - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Orsomarso - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
01.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	1:2
06.09.25	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	1:2
02.09.25	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:1
24.05.25	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	0:2
13.04.24	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	1:1
11.03.23	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:1
24.04.22	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	4:1

Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide