Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 13

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Onubense		Espeleño

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	2.17	3.2	3.05
	1.75	3.4	3.74
	1.76	3.62	4.11
	1.7	3.55	4.37
	2.17	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.4)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	3.7 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Onubense
48.3%

Draw
27%

Espeleño
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

31.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Onubense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Onubense's performance.

Espeleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espeleño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Onubense than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Onubense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espeleño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Onubense - Espeleño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 4 - 0, ⚽,
86', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlético Onubense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Onubense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Onubense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Onubense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
24.11.24	Cartaya - Atlético Onubense	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Inter Sevilla - Atlético Onubense	1:4 ✺
03.11.24	Atlético Onubense - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Atlético Onubense - Puente Genil	1:3 ✺
13.10.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Onubense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLL
- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
24.11.24	Espeleño - Tomares	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Coria CF - Espeleño	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Espeleño - Córdoba B	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	La Palma - Espeleño	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Espeleño - Pozoblanco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.12.17	Atlético Onubense - Espeleño	3:2

Atlético Onubense - Espeleño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide