Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA BPI WOMEN - ROUND 4

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Atlético Ouriense		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.71
	4.5	3.6	1.68
	4.8	3.61	1.67
	4.55	3.62	1.65
	4.3	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.76)	3.57 ↓ (3.68)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Ouriense
20.4%

Draw
25.5%

Valadares Gaia
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.8%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

24.3%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Ouriense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ouriense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 6).

Recent matches Atlético Ouriense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valadares Gaia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valadares Gaia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valadares Gaia is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Ouriense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Ouriense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Ouriense
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
07.10.23	Atlético Ouriense - Benfica	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Famalicão - Atlético Ouriense	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Atlético Ouriense - Albergaria Durit	2:1 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
10.09.23	Atlético Ouriense - Albergaria Durit	2:0 penalties ✺
03.09.23	Albergaria Durit - Atlético Ouriense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- Valadares Gaia Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
08.10.23	Vilaverdense - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
05.10.23	Braga - Valadares Gaia	2:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
01.10.23	Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Braga - Valadares Gaia	2:0 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
09.09.23	Valadares Gaia - Damaiense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga BPI Women
26.03.23	Valadares Gaia - Atlético Ouriense	2:0
05.11.22	Atlético Ouriense - Valadares Gaia	1:1
22.05.22	Atlético Ouriense - Valadares Gaia	0:3
06.03.22	Valadares Gaia - Atlético Ouriense	1:0
03.02.19	Valadares Gaia - Atlético Ouriense	4:1

Atlético Ouriense - Valadares Gaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide