The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valadares Gaia 23.5%
Draw 29.3%
Sporting Lisbon 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
28%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
27.7%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Seppi E. (C) 4. Aniwaa L. 27. Barge I. 42. Correia M. 20. Duarte V. 13. Martinez M. 2. Monteiro S. 7. Parkinson E. 30. Santos D. 6. Santos D. 28. Silva J.
1. Wellmann A. (G) 14. Arques D. 41. Barron A. 15. Bea 19. Bonsegundo F. 4. Cancelinha E. 26. Cherry M. 2. Hernandez-Gray J. 27. Nave M. 11. Perez B. (C) 13. Santiago C.
Substitutes
1. Alves C. (G) 78. Barbosa B. 77. Ferreira C. 9. Lakip J. 8. Luis L. 11. Pereira E. 17. Silva I. 14. Stone M. 10. Teles A.
77. Abreu Rodrigues T. F. 39. Bravo A. 17. Claudia Neto 6. Eaton-Collins G. 8. Fontemanha R. 21. Lino S. 71. Maia C. 22. Potra C. (G) 98. Tomaz A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Aniwaa L. 🟨,
61', Santos D. ↓, Stone M. ↑,
61', Correia M. ↓, Lakip J. ↑,
69', Bonsegundo F. ↓, Claudia Neto ↑,
69', Nave M. ↓, Tomaz A. ↑,
73', Stone M. 🟨,
77', Perez B. ↓, Eaton-Collins G. ↑,
77', Hernandez-Gray J. ↓, Bravo A. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Claudia Neto ⚽,
81', Aniwaa L. ↓, Ferreira C. ↑,
81', Barge I. ↓, Teles A. ↑,
81', Monteiro S. ↓, Luis L. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Lakip J. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 0)
1, Parkinson E. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Bravo A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Martinez M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Claudia Neto (Penalty Awarded),
3, Teles A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Santiago C. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valadares Gaia won 1.
Valadares Gaia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Sporting is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Valadares Gaia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.6:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Valadares Gaia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
Portugal
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Seppi E. (C) 
Aniwaa L. 
Barge I. 
Parkinson E. 
Wellmann A. (G) 
Arques D. 
Bonsegundo F. 
Hernandez-Gray J. 
Pereira E. 
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