Match Info

LDF - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Dominican-republic	CDN Deportes


	Atlético Pantoja		Atlético Vega Real

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.18	6.31
	2.51	3.41	2.60	Watch
	1.39	4.2	7.07	Watch
	1.44	3.95	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.42)	3.94 ↓ (4.1)	5.65 ↓ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Pantoja
57.9%

Draw
24.8%

Atlético Vega Real
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21.1%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Pantoja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Pantoja's form might have worsened.

Atlético Vega Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Pantoja than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Pantoja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Vega Real than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Atlético Pantoja - Atlético Vega Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Louka B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Sarante C. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Louka B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LDF (Winners stage: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Pantoja won 2.

Atlético Pantoja is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vega Real is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Vega Real has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético Pantoja is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Atlético Pantoja will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Pantoja won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Pantoja won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Pantoja
Dominican Republic LDF
04.10.25	Atlético Pantoja - Cibao	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Salcedo - Atlético Pantoja	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Atlético Pantoja - Delfines del Este	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Don Bosco Jarabacoa - Atlético Pantoja	0:4 ✺
24.08.25	Atlético Pantoja - Universidad O&M	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWW
- Atlético Vega Real
Dominican Republic LDF
04.10.25	Salcedo - Atlético Vega Real	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Delfines del Este - Atlético Vega Real	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Don Bosco Jarabacoa - Atlético Vega Real	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Atlético Vega Real - Universidad O&M	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Atlántico - Atlético Vega Real	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Dominican Republic LDF
10.08.25	Atlético Vega Real - Atlético Pantoja	3:0
Dominican Republic Copa de la LDF
12.04.25	Atlético Pantoja - Atlético Vega Real	2:0
Dominican Republic LDF
29.05.24	Atlético Pantoja - Atlético Vega Real	0:0
08.05.24	Atlético Vega Real - Atlético Pantoja	1:1
10.03.24	Atlético Pantoja - Atlético Vega Real	2:1
20.08.23	Atlético Pantoja - Atlético Vega Real	3:1
23.07.23	Atlético Vega Real - Atlético Pantoja	2:1

Atlético Pantoja - Atlético Vega Real: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide