The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Don Bosco Jarabacoa 14.8%
Draw 25.8%
Atlético Vega Real 59.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
28.1%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
25.8%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Don Bosco Jarabacoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Atlético Vega Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Vega Real's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Bosco Jarabacoa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Don Bosco Jarabacoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Vega Real than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Vega Real, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Barragan J. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Osoria D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LDF (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jarabacoa won 0.
Recent form of Jarabacoa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vega Real has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Vega Real is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jarabacoa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Jarabacoa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
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