Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 22

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Atlético Paso		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.55	2.65	2.85
	2.6	2.7	2.9
	2.61	2.78	3.04
	2.59	2.73	2.98	Watch
	2.62	2.68	2.98
	2.6	2.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.1)	2.71 ↓ (3)	2.92 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
35.2%

Draw
33.6%

Unión Adarve
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Paso's performance.

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Adarve might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Dawda ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Menudo (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, Alburquerque A. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Menudo ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Atlético Paso has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unión Adarve is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Paso won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Paso won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Adarve - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.19%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.02.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético Paso - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Talavera de la Reina - Atlético Paso	4:0 ✺
12.01.25	Atlético Paso - CD Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
08.01.25	Tenerife B - Atlético Paso	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.02.25	Unión Adarve - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Unión Adarve - Getafe B	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Navalcarnero - Unión Adarve	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Coria - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.09.24	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	1:0
17.03.24	Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve	2:1
05.11.23	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	1:0
12.03.23	Atlético Paso - Unión Adarve	4:2
23.10.22	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	3:3

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