Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Atlético Paso		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.1
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.38	3.14	2.11
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.38	3.24	2.09
	3.4	3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (5.79)	3.07 ↓ (3.81)	2.09 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
27%

Draw
29.5%

CD Guadalajara
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.1%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

23.5%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Paso's performance.

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Paso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Paso - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Alvarez U. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.01.25	Tenerife B - Atlético Paso	3:2 ✺
22.12.24	Atlético Paso - Melilla	2:3 ✺
08.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Atlético Paso	4:3 ✺
01.12.24	Atlético Paso - Móstoles URJC	1:3 ✺
24.11.24	Getafe B - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - CD Guadalajara	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Getafe B - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Coria - CD Guadalajara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.09.24	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Paso	2:0
24.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Paso	3:1
12.11.23	Atlético Paso - CD Guadalajara	2:0
05.03.23	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Paso	1:1
16.10.22	Atlético Paso - CD Guadalajara	1:0

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