Match Info

CAF Champions League - Round 2

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio 11 de Novembro (Luanda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.75	Watch
	2.72	2.98	2.58	Watch
	2.76	2.95	2.61
	1.36	3.96	11.65	Watch
	2.5	3.13	2.86	Watch
	2.54	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.24)	3.17 ↑ (3.16)	4.23 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
43.2%

Draw
32.4%

Espérance ST
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espérance ST might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Petróleos de Luanda than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Espérance ST Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlético Petróleos (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Petróleos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Espérance ST (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marques H. (G) 25. Afonso E. (C) 24. Kinito 4. Constantino Aderito R. 27. Hossi A. 8. Toro J. 20. Pereira J. 7. Cruz A. 36. Gigal 12. Benny 23. Tiago Reis	32. Ben Said B. (G) 2. Ben Ali M. 6. Jelassi H. 5. Meriah Y. (C) 20. Ben Hamida M. 8. Tka H. 14. Ogbelu O. 7. Boualia K. 31. Jebali C. 21. Konate A. 22. Danho F.
Substitutes
22. Augusto (G) 33. Ilidio A. 9. Julinho 37. Maya 2. Neves O. 19. Paciencia J. 30. Soba P. 17. Vanilson 18. Vidinho	25. Bouzaiene E. 17. Dhaou H. 29. Diakite A. 27. Guenichi K. 19. Jabri A. 12. Laifi N. 30. Maacha K. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 28. Rached Y.
Coaches
Artiga F.	Kanzari M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Tiago Reis ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
61', Gigal ↓, Ilidio A. ↑,
68', Pereira J. 🟨,
69', Boualia K. ↓, Jabri A. ↑,
73', Tiago Reis ↓, Paciencia J. ↑,
81', Jebali C. ↓, Maacha K. ↑,
81', Danho F. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
88', Benny ↓, Maya ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Diakite A. ⚽, Ben Hamida M. (A),
90+2', Konate A. ↓, Guenichi K. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Espérance ST may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Petróleos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Petróleos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
Angolan Girabola
26.11.25	Luanda City - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:5 ✺
CAF Champions League
23.11.25	Simba - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	0:1 ✺
Angolan Girabola
09.11.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Primeiro de Agosto	0:1 ✺
05.11.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Interclube	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
25.10.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Stade dAbidjan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWW
- Espérance ST
CAF Champions League
22.11.25	Espérance ST - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
09.11.25	Club Africain - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
06.11.25	Espérance ST - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Espérance ST - Bizertin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
19.12.23	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Espérance ST	0:0
09.12.23	Espérance ST - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	0:0

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