Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Porcuna		Alhaurino

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.05	2.92
	2.34	3.03	3.03
	2.34	3.06	3
	2.32	3.02	2.95
	2.3	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.31)	3.03 ↑ (3.03)	2.98 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porcuna
39.4%

Draw
30.1%

Alhaurino
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

26.7%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atlético Porcuna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Gonzalez O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,
66', 3 - 2, ⚽,
79', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Atlético Porcuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alhaurino is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Porcuna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.11.25	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Porcuna - Granada B	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Huétor Vega - Atlético Porcuna	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Tájar	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Melilla B - Atlético Porcuna	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWL
- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.11.25	Alhaurino - Torre Del Mar	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	El Palo - Alhaurino	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Alhaurino - UD San Pedro	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Motril - Alhaurino	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Torredonjimeno - Alhaurino	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.03.22	Alhaurino - Atlético Porcuna	2:3
07.11.21	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	2:0
30.05.21	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	0:1
25.04.21	Alhaurino - Atlético Porcuna	1:2

Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide