Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Saguntino		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.88	3.4	3.65
	1.92	3.42	3.62	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.56
	1.88	3.4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.27)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	3.6 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Saguntino
48%

Draw
26.8%

Castellon B
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Saguntino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Saguntino's performance.

Castellon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellon B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Saguntino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellon B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Saguntino - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Nunez A. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Rivera M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 2 - 1, ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Nunez A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Saguntino is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellon B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castellon B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Saguntino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Saguntino won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Saguntino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.01.25	Atlético Saguntino - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
11.01.25	Atlético Saguntino - Torrellano	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Utiel - Atlético Saguntino	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Crevillente Deportivo - Atlético Saguntino	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Atlético Saguntino - Ontinyent 1931	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTTT
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.01.25	Castellon B - Español de San Vicente	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Crevillente Deportivo - Castellon B	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Castellon B - Ontinyent 1931	5:2 ✺
15.12.24	Levante B - Castellon B	2:4 ✺
11.12.24	Castellonense - Castellon B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.09.24	Castellon B - Atlético Saguntino	1:1
26.02.22	Castellon B - Atlético Saguntino	0:1
23.10.21	Atlético Saguntino - Castellon B	1:1

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