Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 12

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Elche Ilicitano		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.62	3.05	4.8
	1.61	3.25	4.9
	1.63	3.2	5.31
	1.6	3.2	5.8
	1.61	3.58	5.05
	1.65	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	3.31 ↑ (3.31)	5.12 ↓ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
55.5%

Draw
27%

Castellon B
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

26.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

24.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche Ilicitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Elche Ilicitano - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Ilicitano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castellon B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ilicitano is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ilicitano won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilicitano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
27.11.22	Rayo Ibense - Elche Ilicitano	3:1 ✺
19.11.22	Elche Ilicitano - Roda	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Levante B - Elche Ilicitano	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Español de San Vicente - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Elche Ilicitano - Acero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
27.11.22	Castellon B - Español de San Vicente	0:0 ✺
19.11.22	Acero - Castellon B	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Castellon B - Silla	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Torrent - Castellon B	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Castellon B - Torrellano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.01.22	Castellon B - Elche Ilicitano	0:0
19.09.21	Elche Ilicitano - Castellon B	2:2

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