The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elche Ilicitano 32.6%
Draw 25.1%
Castellon B 42.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.2%
23.6%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
23.2%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Elche Ilicitano - Castellon B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
In recent outings, Ilicitano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Castellon B shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Ilicitano has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilicitano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).
Watch
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