The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético San Luis 54.4%
Draw 22.7%
Santos Laguna 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
23.6%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
22.1%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos Laguna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zarate A. (G) 8. Sanchez M. 27. Hernandez-Represa E. 25. Vargas F. 13. Suarez A. 22. Gutierrez M. 5. Hernandez C. 33. Delgado D. 19. Macias N. 21. Bello A. 9. Higuera E. (C)
1. Mendoza K. (G) 21. Soto F. 3. Pickard S. 29. Lopez G. 13. Gomez A. 14. Dorantes A. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 11. De Leon K. 24. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 22. Ikechukwu V. 8. Nabweteme S.
Substitutes
24. Aguirre Tello R. 28. Arevalo S. 23. Bustos D. (G) 31. Caldera A. 2. Garcia Munoz K. V. 15. Hernandez I. 12. Herrera A. 3. Houston E. 26. Lopez A. 7. Lopez V.
9. Calvillo S. 25. Diaz N. 19. Mendez A. 5. Novella Y. 23. Rivas T. (G) 10. Rodriguez K. 4. Vaka L.
Coaches
Quintana I.
Lazcano J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Higuera E. ⚽, Bello A. (A),
27', Hernandez-Represa E. 🟨,
30', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 🟨,
39', Lopez G. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Higuera E. ⚽, Hernandez-Represa E. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Lopez G. ⚽, Nabweteme S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Nabweteme S. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
46', Dorantes A. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
52', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ↓, Vaka L. ↑,
56', Gutierrez M. 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Diaz N. ⚽, Ikechukwu V. (A),
60', Hernandez-Represa E. 🟨,
63', Gomez A. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
64', Macias N. ↓, Aguirre Tello R. ↑,
67', 2 - 3, Soto F. ⚽, Ikechukwu V. (A),
69', Hernandez C. ↓, Houston E. ↑,
75', Rodriguez D. ↓, Novella Y. ↑,
76', Pickard S. 🟨,
88', Bello A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
89', Delgado D. ↓, Arevalo S. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 4.
Atlético San Luis is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Santos Laguna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Santos Laguna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético San Luis is a strong favorite.
We predict that Atlético San Luis will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Santos Laguna - the odds 4.92 are the expected chance of winning is 18.67%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.