The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Necaxa 14.3%
Draw 21.3%
Santos Laguna 64.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.7%
23.2%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
16.2%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Santos Laguna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos Laguna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Necaxa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (-23.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos Laguna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Necaxa - Santos Laguna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Amaro J. (G) 21. Barnett J. 15. Bracamonte F. 11. Fernandez I. 14. Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T. 20. Mendez A. 23. Navarro Flores A. A. 9. Peralta W. (C) 27. Porras S. 17. Torres A. 24. Vinolas Hernandez X.
1. Mendoza K. (G) 9. Calvillo S. 14. Gomez A. 16. Guevara Ortega C. 2. Hernandez Ponce A. G. 22. Ikechukwu V. 5. Novella Y. 4. Peraza M. 3. Pickard S. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 10. Rodriguez K.
Substitutes
4. Cavanaugh M. L. 7. Edwards A. 51. Elizabeth Macias Sandoval N. (G) 6. Garcia A. 45. Gomez C. 77. Herbert N. 52. Medellin Z. 8. Michell De La Torre Lopez M. 58. Roque Elizondo N. J. 66. Salto P.
17. Martinez M. 24. Padilla D. 23. Rivas T. (G) 20. Romero Torres L. M. 25. Ruiz M. 11. Santana M. 18. Serna A.
Coaches
Astorga C.
Lazcano J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Porras S. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Barnett J. 🟨,
33', Novella Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fernandez I. ↓, Cavanaugh M. L. ↑,
60', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
62', Guevara Ortega C. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
62', Hernandez Ponce A. G. ↓, Santana M. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Santana M. ⚽,
68', Vinolas Hernandez X. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
72', Rodriguez D. ↓, Padilla D. ↑,
72', Calvillo S. ↓, Romero Torres L. M. ↑,
86', Barnett J. ↓, Medellin Z. ↑,
86', Navarro Flores A. A. ↓, Roque Elizondo N. J. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Ikechukwu V. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3.
Necaxa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Santos Laguna's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Santos Laguna is considered a favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
Mexico
South-america
Watch
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Amaro J. (G) 
Peralta W. (C) 
Porras S. 
Mendoza K. (G) 
Ikechukwu V. 
Peraza M. 
Pickard S. 
Edwards A. 
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