Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 26

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Paraguay	16:00	Tigo Sports+


	Atlético Tembetary		Paraguarí

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.95	2.50
	2.65	2.75	2.55
	2.7	3.05	2.59
	2.84	2.89	2.69	Watch
	2.6	2.6	2.5
	2.67	2.8	2.56	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.24)	2.83 ↓ (3.4)	2.56 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tembetary
33.5%

Draw
31.6%

Paraguarí
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tembetary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Tembetary's performance.

Paraguarí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paraguarí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Tembetary that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraguarí than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paraguarí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Atlético Tembetary - Paraguarí Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tembetary will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Paraguarí will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Vera Encina R. F. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Mercado C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Maidana E. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 11th and 8th).

Recent results have been tough for Tembetary (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Paraguarí is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Paraguarí could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Paraguarí holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tembetary has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Paraguari AC	30	14	5	11	45:38	7	47
11	Atl. Tembetary	30	10	7	13	41:48	-7	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tembetary
Copa Paraguay
24.09.26	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Iteño	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.09.26	Benjamín Aceval - Atlético Tembetary	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	12 de Junio - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Tembetary - Encarnación	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTL
- Paraguarí AC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.09.26	Paraguarí - General Caballero JLM	3:2 ✺
14.09.26	Benjamín Aceval - Paraguarí	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Paraguarí - Guaireña	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Paraguarí	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Paraguarí - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.06.26	Paraguarí - Atlético Tembetary	1:1

Atlético Tembetary - Paraguarí