Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 22

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	15:30	SportsEngine Play


	Sportivo Carapeguá		Paraguarí

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.32	2.82	2.95
	2.42	3.20	2.97
	2.43	3.1	2.98	Watch
	2.20	2.70	2.90
	2.32	2.95	3.02
	2.32	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.23)	2.96 ↓ (3.31)	2.92 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
38.6%

Draw
30.5%

Paraguarí
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

26.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Paraguarí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraguarí than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Sportivo Carapeguá - Paraguarí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Velazco Ramirez V. G. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Bordon D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Britez B. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Bobadilla J. ⚽,
86', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Paraguarí has had a series of home games.

Carapeguá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carapeguá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Paraguari AC	30	14	5	11	45:38	7	47
7	Sp. Carapegua	30	12	7	11	37:43	-6	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
30.08.26	12 de Junio - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	3 de Noviembre - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - General Caballero JLM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWL
- Paraguarí AC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
31.08.26	Paraguarí - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	12 de Junio - Paraguarí	3:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
19.08.26	Paraguarí - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.08.26	Paraguarí - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Paraguarí - Deportivo Capiatá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.05.26	Paraguarí - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:0

Sportivo Carapeguá - Paraguarí