Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: Carneiro (Alagoinhas)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Atlético de Alagoinhas |
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Jacuipense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.38 |
3.11 |
2.86 |
|
 |
2.4 |
3.02 |
2.95 |
Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.36 |
3 |
2.9 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↓ (2.61) |
2.98 ↓ (3.05) |
2.9 ↑ (2.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético de Alagoinhas 38.4% | Draw 30.4% | Jacuipense 31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jacuipense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 81', 0 - 1, Guilherme Queiroz (Own goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Alagoinhas won 0.Atlético Alagoinhas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Jacuipense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Atlético Alagoinhas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Jacuipense has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlético Alagoinhas won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Alagoinhas won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;