Match Info
Serie D - Round 5Date: 3 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Juca Sampaio (Palmeira dos Índios)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Clube Sociedade Esportiva |
|
Jacuipense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.41 |
3.23 |
2.74 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3.11 |
2.8 |
 Watch |
 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.38 |
3.1 |
2.71 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.41) |
3.07 ↓
(3.09) |
2.71 ↑
(2.7) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
37.3% | Draw
29.4% | Jacuipense
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Clube Sociedade Esportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Clube Sociedade Esportiva aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Jacuipense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 34', 1 - 0, Michel Douglas ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Thiago ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Michel Douglas ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', 2 - 2, William ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 2, Anderson Montanha ⚽,
Preview
CSE has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Jacuipense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).CSE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, CSE has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, CSE won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).Including home matches between the teams, CSE won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 26.06.24 | Jacuipense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 1:2 | | 25.05.24 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Jacuipense | 1:2 | | 10.07.22 | Jacuipense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 2:1 | | 23.04.22 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Jacuipense | 3:3 |
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