Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 18

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético dos Arcos		Joane

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.6	3	2.65
	2.65	2.84	2.72
	2.53	3.06	2.58
	2.6	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.54)	2.98 ↓ (3.07)	2.63 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético dos Arcos
35.2%

Draw
30.4%

Joane
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.8%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético dos Arcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Joane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético dos Arcos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joane than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Atlético dos Arcos - Joane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético dos Arcos has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Joane is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Joane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético dos Arcos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético dos Arcos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.02.25	Bragança - Atlético dos Arcos	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Rebordosa - Atlético dos Arcos	3:0 ✺
11.01.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Os Sandinenses	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Paredes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLLL
- GD Joane
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.02.25	Joane - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Pevidem - Joane	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Joane - Vianense	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Vila Real - Joane	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Joane - Brito	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.09.24	Joane - Atlético dos Arcos	0:0

Atlético dos Arcos - Joane