Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Atsalenios		Ilisiakos

	1	X	2
	6.2	3.9	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↑ (3.35)	3.9 ↑ (3.2)	1.47 ↓ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atsalenios
14.7%

Draw
23.4%

Ilisiakos
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

28.4%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28.6%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atsalenios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atsalenios's form might have worsened.

Ilisiakos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilisiakos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atsalenios than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atsalenios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilisiakos than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilisiakos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atsalenios won 2.

Atsalenios has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ilisiakos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Atsalenios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ilisiakos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atsalenios won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atsalenios won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atsalenios FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
05.04.26	Haidari - Atsalenios	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Aias Salamina - Atsalenios	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Atsalenios - Giouchtas	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ionikos Nikaias - Atsalenios	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Atsalenios - Kyanos Asteras Vari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLT
- Ilisiakos FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
05.04.26	Ilisiakos - Giouchtas	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Aias Salamina - Ilisiakos	0:3 ✺
28.03.26	Ilisiakos - Haidari	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Ilisiakos - Granitis Agia Marina	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Giouchtas - Ilisiakos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
14.12.25	Atsalenios - Ilisiakos	2:2
28.09.25	Ilisiakos - Atsalenios	1:2
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
23.02.25	Ilisiakos - Atsalenios	2:3
10.11.24	Atsalenios - Ilisiakos	2:6
04.02.24	Atsalenios - Ilisiakos	0:1
01.10.23	Ilisiakos - Atsalenios	1:0
Greek Division C
01.04.18	Atsalenios - Ilisiakos	1:0

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