Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny (Aubagne)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aubagne		Bourg-Péronnas

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.00
	2.1	3.1	3.35
	2.23	3.25	3.48
	2.18	3.29	3.03
	2.2	3.15	3.4
	2.1	3.18	3.25
	2.09	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)	3.17 ↑ (3.06)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aubagne
42.8%

Draw
29%

Bourg-Péronnas
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bourg-Péronnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Aubagne - Bourg Péronnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bourg-Péronnas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Toure I. (G) 2. Sadi A. 4. Valme R. 26. Nehari M. (C) 20. Bellebrahim A. 6. Tafni B. 18. Oudjani A. 27. Sahraoui J. 37. Faiz A. 10. Cisse K. 9. Zemoura Y.	1. Montfort L. (G) 12. Coelho G. (C) 27. Muro R. 29. Dede-Lhomme N. 18. Kanoute Y. 23. El Hajjami M. 26. Groune A. 11. Abraou Y. 14. Krizoua A. 28. Gharbi A. 10. El Wakil M.
Substitutes
35. Aradj Y. 28. Benosmane B. 5. Doucoure R. 19. Doukansy B. 7. Hattab S. 16. Moreira T. (G) 31. Seha Z.	21. Alberto E. 4. Dihad A. 17. Lebas da Silva V. 9. Mendes I. 7. Muepu O. 40. Popp P. (G) 19. Tyburn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Sahraoui J. ⚽, Faiz A. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Nehari M. ⚽,
16', Bellebrahim A. 🟨,
22', Coelho G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Valme R. 🟨,
58', Zemoura Y. 🟨,
60', Zemoura Y. ↓, Hattab S. ↑,
60', Faiz A. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
65', El Wakil M. ↓, Muepu O. ↑,
65', Groune A. ↓, Lebas da Silva V. ↑,
65', Abraou Y. ↓, Mendes I. ↑,
65', Gharbi A. ↓, Alberto E. ↑,
70', Lebas da Silva V. 🟨,
72', Oudjani A. ↓, Doukansy B. ↑,
73', Tafni B. ↓, Benosmane B. ↑,
79', Sahraoui J. ↓, Doucoure R. ↑,
82', Dede-Lhomme N. 🟨,
84', El Hajjami M. 🟨,
85', Sadi A. 🟨,
87', Seha Z. 🟨,
89', Kanoute Y. 🟨,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aubagne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aubagne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7
17	Bourg en Bresse	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
20.08.26	Caen - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Aubagne - Bastia	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Aubagne - Thionville Lusitanos	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Toulon - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Aubagne - Bastia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTT
- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
20.08.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Thionville Lusitanos	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Villefranche	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Dijon	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Grenoble - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.02.26	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0
05.09.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Aubagne	0:0
14.03.25	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0
18.10.24	Bourg-Péronnas - Aubagne	2:1

Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide